Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

303.68 – 216.15

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 705.8 ±8.7

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 126.67Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 18.82Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 158.19Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.5 ±10.4

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 124.18Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2609Beaverworx

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 84.87Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 7.1Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9785, 2013, 11270

/ 100 compat

Projected

303.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9785, 2013, 11270

Auto

47.1 16%

Teleop

174.7 58%

Endgame

78.3 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 2609, 5596

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 2609, 5596

Auto

31.7 15%

Teleop

115.2 54%

Endgame

65.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score303.7pts

Blue projected score216.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.5
Score range: 180–340
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 553 vs event baseline 199.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

705.8Season APEX372.5

47.1Auto31.7

174.7Teleop115.2

78.3Endgame65.9

43Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	43
teleop	156	101
endgame	95	99
foul	10	0
total	310	243

Result

Final score

310 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Match videos

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