Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.47 – 96.15
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
76 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 18.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 50.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 35.4Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 12.85Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 183Event APEX 34.14Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109Event APEX 17.38Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.2Event APEX 44.63Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7480, 7476, 9580
43
/ 100 compatProjected
98.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7480, 7476, 9580
Auto
26.8 29%
Teleop
50.2 54%
Endgame
16.6 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7712, 2706, 2708
43
/ 100 compatProjected
96.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7712, 2706, 2708
Auto
24.2 27%
Teleop
41.2 45%
Endgame
25.3 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.5pts
Blue projected score96.2pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 2.3
- Score range
- 60–134
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
270.8Season APEX365.2
26.8Auto24.2
50.2Teleop41.2
16.6Endgame25.3
40Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 20 |
| teleop | 23 | 46 |
| endgame | 7 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 76 | 110 |
Result
Final score
76 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 18.2 pts
Match videos
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