Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

221.64 – 259.17

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

246 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.5 ±10.4

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 125.77Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2609Beaverworx

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 86.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 9.27Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.8 ±9.8

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 18.35Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 174.48Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 66.34Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2935, 2609, 5596

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 2609, 5596

Auto

33.5 15%

Teleop

114.1 52%

Endgame

71.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3543, 7520, 1305

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3543, 7520, 1305

Auto

40.7 16%

Teleop

157.2 61%

Endgame

58.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.6pts

Blue projected score259.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.5
Score range: 186–295
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 506 vs event baseline 200.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.5Season APEX479.8

33.5Auto40.7

114.1Teleop157.2

71.3Endgame58

31Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	54
teleop	127	124
endgame	59	52
foul	0	30
total	246	260

Result

Final score

246 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 12.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.