Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

144.32 – 150.07

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 215

Prediction missed · off by 68.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.9 ±10.7

610Crescent Coyotes

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 68.07Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 66.57Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics

Season APEX 14Event APEX 9.68Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.9 ±10.4

2706Merge Robotics

Season APEX 109Event APEX 28.86Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2609Beaverworx

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 92.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4152Hoya Robotics

Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 28.86Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 610, 2013, 6859

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 610, 2013, 6859

Auto

31.3 24%

Teleop

69.8 53%

Endgame

31.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2706, 2609, 4152

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2706, 2609, 4152

Auto

23.4 16%

Teleop

97.6 65%

Endgame

28.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.3pts

Blue projected score150.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.7
Score range: 112–182
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 175.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.9Season APEX360.9

31.3Auto23.4

69.8Teleop97.6

31.2Endgame28.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	48
teleop	106	130
endgame	69	37
foul	0	0
total	217	215

Result

Final score

217 – 215

Prediction missed · off by 68.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.