Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.66 – 329.29

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.1 ±10.4

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 19.89Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9589Arcade Robotics

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 20.48Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1334OT Devils

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 5.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.6 ±9.8

7480Machine Mavericks

Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 47.29Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 154.47Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 127.53Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3543, 9589, 1334

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3543, 9589, 1334

Auto

15.2 38%

Teleop

21.2 53%

Endgame

3.6 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7480, 10015, 2935

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7480, 10015, 2935

Auto

53.7 17%

Teleop

171.2 53%

Endgame

95.5 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.7pts

Blue projected score329.3pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -283.6
Score range: 9–366
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 389 vs event baseline 207.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.1Season APEX508.6

15.2Auto53.7

21.2Teleop171.2

3.6Endgame95.5

23Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	34
teleop	11	236
endgame	8	95
foul	0	5
total	19	370

Result

Final score

19 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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