Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.43 – 284.81

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

156 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.8 ±10.4

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 9.07Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 51.22Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2706Merge Robotics

Season APEX 109Event APEX 10.14Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 512.5 ±9.3

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 106.68Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 149.15Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9589Arcade Robotics

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 28.98Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9580, 1305, 2706

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9580, 1305, 2706

Auto

18.8 27%

Teleop

30.3 43%

Endgame

20.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8884, 10015, 9589

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8884, 10015, 9589

Auto

49.7 18%

Teleop

177.8 63%

Endgame

53.0 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.4pts

Blue projected score284.8pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -214.4
Score range: 35–320
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 195.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.8Season APEX512.5

18.8Auto49.7

30.3Teleop177.8

20.8Endgame53

19Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	87
teleop	47	120
endgame	46	56
foul	0	10
total	156	273

Result

Final score

156 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.