Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

200.08 – 269.29

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

220 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.5 ±9.3

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 31.23Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 8.44Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 160.41Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 488.2 ±9.8

610Crescent Coyotes

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 152.06Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX -1.23Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 118.46Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7712, 3543, 11270

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7712, 3543, 11270

Auto

32.3 16%

Teleop

118.6 60%

Endgame

45.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 610, 5596, 2935

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 610, 5596, 2935

Auto

42.0 16%

Teleop

149.3 56%

Endgame

73.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.1pts

Blue projected score269.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.2
Score range: 165–304
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.5Season APEX488.2

32.3Auto42

118.6Teleop149.3

45.3Endgame73.8

87Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	67
teleop	92	166
endgame	63	95
foul	20	10
total	220	338

Result

Final score

220 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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