Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.89 – 131.45

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 49.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±9.8

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 155.82Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8729Sparkling H2O

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 50.14Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 9.93Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.8 ±9.3

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 110.25Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 18.57Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 2.63Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7520, 8729, 3543

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7520, 8729, 3543

Auto

37.8 18%

Teleop

113.9 53%

Endgame

63.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9785, 2013, 9580

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9785, 2013, 9580

Auto

22.1 17%

Teleop

61.3 47%

Endgame

46.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score215.9pts

Blue projected score131.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.4
Score range: 96–251
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 194.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.9Season APEX495.8

37.8Auto22.1

113.9Teleop61.3

63.8Endgame46.2

67Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	36
teleop	128	134
endgame	24	26
foul	15	15
total	197	211

Result

Final score

197 – 211

Prediction missed · off by 49.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.