Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.45 – 262.67

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

311 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 144.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.7 ±10.4

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 31.51Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 100.53Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9589Arcade Robotics

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 22.41Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406.4 ±11.2

6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics

Season APEX 14Event APEX -12.38Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4152Hoya Robotics

Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 124.67Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 150.38Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1305, 2935, 9589

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1305, 2935, 9589

Auto

11.5 8%

Teleop

80.9 54%

Endgame

58.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6859, 4152, 7520

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6859, 4152, 7520

Auto

47.8 18%

Teleop

163.6 62%

Endgame

50.6 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.5pts

Blue projected score262.7pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.2
Score range: 120–297
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 189.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.7Season APEX406.4

11.5Auto47.8

80.9Teleop163.6

58Endgame50.6

19Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	79
teleop	157	210
endgame	86	102
foul	5	5
total	311	396

Result

Final score

311 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 144.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.