Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.11 – 197.62

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.8 ±10.4

8729Sparkling H2O

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 58.65Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 5.21Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 29.25Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.7 ±9.8

2609Beaverworx

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 105.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 31.35Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7480Machine Mavericks

Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 61.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8729, 3543, 1305

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8729, 3543, 1305

Auto

18.6 21%

Teleop

24.2 27%

Endgame

46.6 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2609, 2013, 7480

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2609, 2013, 7480

Auto

31.1 16%

Teleop

113.7 57%

Endgame

53.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.1pts

Blue projected score197.6pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.5
Score range: 59–232
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 189.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.8Season APEX323.7

18.6Auto31.1

24.2Teleop113.7

46.6Endgame53.2

33Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	15
teleop	74	63
endgame	29	29
foul	0	25
total	120	132

Result

Final score

120 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 46.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.