Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

267.45 – 283.41

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

271 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 553.8 ±9.8

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 98.14Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 122.45Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 46.86Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.5 ±9.9

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 148.33Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

610Crescent Coyotes

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 133.98Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6864GryphTech Robotics

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 1.1Rank 23Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2935, 8884, 7476

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 8884, 7476

Auto

48.5 19%

Teleop

157.4 61%

Endgame

53.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7520, 610, 6864

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7520, 610, 6864

Auto

36.6 13%

Teleop

158.0 56%

Endgame

89.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score267.5pts

Blue projected score283.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16
Score range: 233–317
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 618 vs event baseline 188.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553.8Season APEX497.5

48.5Auto36.6

157.4Teleop158

53.2Endgame89.3

57Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	79
teleop	170	233
endgame	36	35
foul	5	0
total	271	347

Result

Final score

271 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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