Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.16 – 269.38

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±11.7

7480Machine Mavericks

Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 51.06Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics

Season APEX 14Event APEX 11.69Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 8.41Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545.3 ±9.8

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 106.85Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 155.19Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2706Merge Robotics

Season APEX 109Event APEX 7.34Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7480, 6859, 9580

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7480, 6859, 9580

Auto

20.3 29%

Teleop

37.2 53%

Endgame

12.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 7520, 2706

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 7520, 2706

Auto

36.9 14%

Teleop

138.1 51%

Endgame

93.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.2pts

Blue projected score269.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -198.2
Score range: 36–304
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 194.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.3Season APEX545.3

20.3Auto36.9

37.2Teleop138.1

12.2Endgame93.4

37Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	35	108
endgame	11	61
foul	0	0
total	63	206

Result

Final score

63 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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