Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.2 – 213.66

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±11

6864GryphTech Robotics

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX -0.33Rank 23Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5036The Robo Devils

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 72.15Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2708Lake Effect Robotics

Season APEX 73.2Event APEX 52.38Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.2 ±9.8

1334OT Devils

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 21.07Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 46.87Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 145.72Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6864, 5036, 2708

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6864, 5036, 2708

Auto

25.5 20%

Teleop

54.4 43%

Endgame

47.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1334, 7476, 11270

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1334, 7476, 11270

Auto

33.5 16%

Teleop

125.3 61%

Endgame

47.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.2pts

Blue projected score213.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.5
Score range: 89–249
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 195.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.8Season APEX457.2

25.5Auto33.5

54.4Teleop125.3

47.7Endgame47.9

33Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	33
teleop	62	121
endgame	18	36
foul	0	10
total	104	200

Result

Final score

104 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.