Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.97 – 249.07

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.8 ±11.2

8884Knight Owls

Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 122.31Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6859Big Metal Lakers 6859- BML Robotics

Season APEX 14Event APEX 17.62Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5596Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX -6.96Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±10.4

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 118.35Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2609Beaverworx

Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 116.13Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3543C4 Robotics

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 14.59Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8884, 6859, 5596

/ 100 compat

Projected

133 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8884, 6859, 5596

Auto

33.0 27%

Teleop

81.1 66%

Endgame

8.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2935, 2609, 3543

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2935, 2609, 3543

Auto

23.3 10%

Teleop

136.7 56%

Endgame

84.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score133pts

Blue projected score249.1pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.1
Score range: 98–284
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 196.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.8Season APEX374.5

33Auto23.3

81.1Teleop136.7

8.9Endgame84.8

91Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	26
teleop	42	130
endgame	20	35
foul	0	5
total	84	196

Result

Final score

84 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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