Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.11 – 98.47

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

290 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 79.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.5 ±9.8

5036The Robo Devils

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 48.12Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 130.93Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1334OT Devils

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX -5.94Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.3 ±9.8

2708Lake Effect Robotics

Season APEX 73.2Event APEX 54.4Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9589Arcade Robotics

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 18.37Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 25.7Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5036, 7520, 1334

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5036, 7520, 1334

Auto

26.2 15%

Teleop

104.4 59%

Endgame

45.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2708, 9589, 2013

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2708, 9589, 2013

Auto

23.6 23%

Teleop

51.0 49%

Endgame

29.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.1pts

Blue projected score98.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.6
Score range: 62–209
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 197.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.5Season APEX248.3

26.2Auto23.6

104.4Teleop51

45.5Endgame29.3

48Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	18
teleop	144	15
endgame	88	18
foul	5	5
total	290	56

Result

Final score

290 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 79.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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