Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District North Bay Event

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

342.4 – 319.36

57%43%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

418 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 65.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 698 ±9.3
4152Hoya Robotics
B
Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 96.22Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9785Alectrona
A+
Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 125.51Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
610Crescent Coyotes
B
Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 120.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.4 ±9.3
7520Team MineKee
A
Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 116.36Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7480Machine Mavericks
C
Season APEX 110.5Event APEX 60.62Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11270Nova
A
Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 142.38Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4152, 9785, 610
86
/ 100 compat
Projected
342.4 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4152, 9785, 610
Auto
51.3 15%
Teleop
196.8 57%
Endgame
99.8 29%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7520, 7480, 11270
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
319.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7520, 7480, 11270
Auto
30.6 10%
Teleop
197.3 62%
Endgame
92.6 29%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score342.4pts
Blue projected score319.4pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
23
Score range
285–376
Upset likelihood
43%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 792 vs event baseline 186.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698Season APEX612.4
51.3Auto30.6
196.8Teleop197.3
99.8Endgame92.6
118Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5955
teleop246206
endgame108113
foul50
total418374

Result

Final score

418 – 374

Prediction correct · off by 65.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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