Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.72 – 311.59

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

288 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 459.3 ±9.9

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 156.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6864GryphTech Robotics

Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 17.46Rank 23Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

610Crescent Coyotes

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 162.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 705.8 ±8.7

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 21.6Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 128.99Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 161Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10015, 6864, 610

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10015, 6864, 610

Auto

53.8 16%

Teleop

184.4 56%

Endgame

92.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2013, 9785, 11270

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2013, 9785, 11270

Auto

46.8 15%

Teleop

172.9 56%

Endgame

86.8 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score335.7pts

Blue projected score311.6pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.1
Score range: 275–373
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 206.4.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

459.3Season APEX705.8

53.8Auto46.8

184.4Teleop172.9

92.7Endgame86.8

52Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	67
teleop	127	128
endgame	47	93
foul	25	15
total	288	303

Result

Final score

288 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 28.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.