Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
568.81 – 168.24
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
519 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 961.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 237.77Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 21.56Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 309.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±11
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 7.15Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120Event APEX 68Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 93.09Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1114, 9062, 2056
80
/ 100 compatProjected
568.8 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1114, 9062, 2056
Auto
117.2 21%
Teleop
334.5 60%
Endgame
107.6 19%
Strengths
- · 2056 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6135, 6978, 9098
53
/ 100 compatProjected
168.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6135, 6978, 9098
Auto
35.9 23%
Teleop
93.1 59%
Endgame
28.2 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score568.8pts
Blue projected score168.2pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 400.6
- Score range
- 131–606
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
961.9Season APEX355.2
117.2Auto35.9
334.5Teleop93.1
107.6Endgame28.2
0Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 135 | 21 |
| teleop | 274 | 62 |
| endgame | 105 | 53 |
| foul | 5 | 25 |
| total | 519 | 161 |
Result
Final score
519 – 161
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts
Match videos
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