Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
152.05 – 239.44
25%75%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
220 – 218
Prediction missed · off by 44.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±11
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 0.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120Event APEX 63.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 87.83Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 82Event APEX 35.57Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.5Event APEX 128.8Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.6Event APEX 75.07Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6135, 6978, 9098
50
/ 100 compatProjected
152.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6135, 6978, 9098
Auto
34.7 24%
Teleop
85.0 59%
Endgame
25.3 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9659, 4907, 5032
68
/ 100 compatProjected
239.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9659, 4907, 5032
Auto
44.5 20%
Teleop
130.6 57%
Endgame
52.6 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.1pts
Blue projected score239.4pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -87.4
- Score range
- 115–276
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
355.2Season APEX410.1
34.7Auto44.5
85Teleop130.6
25.3Endgame52.6
18Consistency21
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 50 |
| teleop | 110 | 77 |
| endgame | 38 | 91 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 220 | 218 |
Result
Final score
220 – 218
Prediction missed · off by 44.7 pts
Match videos
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