Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

546.81 – 95.6

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

661 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 68.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 961.9 ±9.3

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 230.09Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 14.31Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 302.41Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±10.4

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 37.53Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 18.35Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 39.72Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1114, 9062, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

546.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1114, 9062, 2056

Auto

114.0 21%

Teleop

325.2 60%

Endgame

98.8 18%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7200, 4308, 6632

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7200, 4308, 6632

Auto

25.6 29%

Teleop

40.2 45%

Endgame

23.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score546.8pts

Blue projected score95.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 451.2
Score range: 59–584
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 780 vs event baseline 203.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

961.9Season APEX278.7

114Auto25.6

325.2Teleop40.2

98.8Endgame23.3

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	129	17
teleop	370	30
endgame	142	32
foul	20	40
total	661	119

Result

Final score

661 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 68.8 pts

Match videos

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