Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
253.38 – 180.03
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
277 – 252
Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 113.36Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 18.5Event APEX -14.78Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262Event APEX 154.8Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±11
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 11.13Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120Event APEX 71.87Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 97.03Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7902, 11362, 2200
70
/ 100 compatProjected
253.4 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7902, 11362, 2200
Auto
61.8 25%
Teleop
138.6 57%
Endgame
43.8 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6135, 6978, 9098
56
/ 100 compatProjected
180 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6135, 6978, 9098
Auto
34.5 21%
Teleop
95.6 57%
Endgame
37.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score253.4pts
Blue projected score180pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 73.4
- Score range
- 142–291
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
414.2Season APEX355.2
61.8Auto34.5
138.6Teleop95.6
43.8Endgame37.8
18Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 46 |
| teleop | 129 | 133 |
| endgame | 41 | 73 |
| foul | 35 | 0 |
| total | 277 | 252 |
Result
Final score
277 – 252
Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.