Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
126.63 – 149.03
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
470 – 151
Prediction missed · off by 172.7 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 86.86Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 72.86Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.9Event APEX -33.09Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 120Event APEX 78.33Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 1.48Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 69.22Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2056, 9098, 8764
48
/ 100 compatProjected
126.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2056, 9098, 8764
Auto
27.1 24%
Teleop
73.4 66%
Endgame
11.2 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6978, 7200, 10554
55
/ 100 compatProjected
149 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6978, 7200, 10554
Auto
24.7 17%
Teleop
87.6 60%
Endgame
33.0 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score126.6pts
Blue projected score149pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -22.4
- Score range
- 88–188
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
673.4Season APEX372.9
27.1Auto24.7
73.4Teleop87.6
11.2Endgame33
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 99 | 16 |
| teleop | 263 | 98 |
| endgame | 98 | 27 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 470 | 151 |
Result
Final score
470 – 151
Prediction missed · off by 172.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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