Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.74 – 162.52

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.4 ±11

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 42.45Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 72.89Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6135Arctos

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 5.4Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±10.4

4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 25.01Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5032The Falcons

Season APEX 117.6Event APEX 81.05Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10554Team VIPER

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 56.46Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7200, 2852, 6135

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7200, 2852, 6135

Auto

16.5 15%

Teleop

68.0 60%

Endgame

29.1 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4308, 5032, 10554

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4308, 5032, 10554

Auto

24.9 16%

Teleop

86.5 56%

Endgame

44.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.7pts

Blue projected score162.5pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.8
Score range: 85–199
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 202.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.4Season APEX331.9

16.5Auto24.9

68Teleop86.5

29.1Endgame44.4

42Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	23
teleop	13	35
endgame	22	34
foul	0	10
total	61	102

Result

Final score

61 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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