Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
80.29 – 300.38
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
75 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 116.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.5 ±11
Season APEX 82Event APEX 38.17Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 50.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -8.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 53Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 140.69Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 106.69Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9659, 1229, 11002
40
/ 100 compatProjected
80.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9659, 1229, 11002
Auto
17.3 24%
Teleop
35.8 49%
Endgame
19.8 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9575, 7902, 9098
79
/ 100 compatProjected
300.4 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9575, 7902, 9098
Auto
47.6 17%
Teleop
169.7 59%
Endgame
68.9 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.3pts
Blue projected score300.4pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -220.1
- Score range
- 43–337
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
231.5Season APEX411.4
17.3Auto47.6
35.8Teleop169.7
19.8Endgame68.9
12Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 53 |
| teleop | 22 | 20 |
| endgame | 17 | 0 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 73 |
Result
Final score
75 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 116.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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