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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District McMaster University Event

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.14 – 106.78

63%37%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.6 ±10.5
3560MechaWolves
D
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -10.07Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9062Critical Circuits
B
Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 4.57Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2200BCR Blackout
A
Season APEX 262Event APEX 154.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.1 ±9.8
4917Sir Lancerbot
C
Season APEX 120Event APEX 52.2Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6632Northview Robotics
C
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 39.94Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4327Q Branch
C
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 14.64Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3560, 9062, 2200
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
149.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3560, 9062, 2200
Auto
39.7 28%
Teleop
73.4 51%
Endgame
30.6 21%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4917, 6632, 4327
42
/ 100 compat
Projected
106.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4917, 6632, 4327
Auto
27.6 26%
Teleop
59.7 56%
Endgame
19.0 18%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score149.1pts
Blue projected score106.8pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
42.4
Score range
70–186
Upset likelihood
37%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 204.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.6Season APEX336.1
39.7Auto27.6
73.4Teleop59.7
30.6Endgame19
13Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6923
teleop13571
endgame4641
foul00
total250135

Result

Final score

250 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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