Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.87 – 376.86

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.9 ±10.5

11428Horns of Steel

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 37.53Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 29.61Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 16.73Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.4 ±9.8

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 48.96Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9659Vanier Vikings

Season APEX 82Event APEX 36.31Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 291.59Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11428, 10167, 4327

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11428, 10167, 4327

Auto

22.6 28%

Teleop

37.1 46%

Endgame

21.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9575, 9659, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9575, 9659, 2056

Auto

73.0 20%

Teleop

206.2 56%

Endgame

88.7 24%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.9pts

Blue projected score376.9pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -293
Score range: 47–414
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 202.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.9Season APEX571.4

22.6Auto73

37.1Teleop206.2

21Endgame88.7

8Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	92
teleop	28	250
endgame	13	59
foul	0	0
total	55	401

Result

Final score

55 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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