Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.84 – 130.98

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.4 ±9.8

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 28.33Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 136.18Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 16.33Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.3 ±10.4

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 2.53Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 74.85Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 53.6Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6632, 2200, 4308

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6632, 2200, 4308

Auto

50.9 31%

Teleop

75.8 46%

Endgame

38.1 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9062, 2852, 9575

/ 100 compat

Projected

131 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 2852, 9575

Auto

17.4 14%

Teleop

63.7 49%

Endgame

47.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.8pts

Blue projected score131pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.9
Score range: 94–218
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 206.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.4Season APEX313.3

50.9Auto17.4

75.8Teleop63.7

38.1Endgame47.6

43Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	28
teleop	181	22
endgame	41	18
foul	5	15
total	276	83

Result

Final score

276 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 71.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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