Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.39 – 92.13

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.7 ±11

11362RoBumpers

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX -5.82Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 39.54Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 57.67Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.5 ±11.7

5032The Falcons

Season APEX 117.6Event APEX 81.03Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX -0.85Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8850Ed Bears

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 11.95Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11362, 10167, 9575

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11362, 10167, 9575

Auto

12.7 14%

Teleop

43.1 48%

Endgame

34.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5032, 9062, 8850

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5032, 9062, 8850

Auto

24.4 29%

Teleop

34.5 41%

Endgame

25.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.4pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.7
Score range: 55–128
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 200.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.7Season APEX303.5

12.7Auto24.4

43.1Teleop34.5

34Endgame25.2

18Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	28
teleop	20	75
endgame	8	30
foul	0	0
total	41	133

Result

Final score

41 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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