Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

354.57 – 74.73

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

346 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.7 ±9.8

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 245.2Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 61.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 48.08Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.2 ±12.2

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 4.26Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11428Horns of Steel

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 41.75Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8764Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 28.72Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1114, 9575, 7200

/ 100 compat

Projected

354.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1114, 9575, 7200

Auto

67.8 19%

Teleop

212.6 60%

Endgame

76.6 21%

Strengths

· 1114 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9062, 11428, 8764

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 11428, 8764

Auto

22.6 37%

Teleop

16.3 27%

Endgame

21.4 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score354.6pts

Blue projected score74.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 279.8
Score range: 38–392
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 207.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.7Season APEX295.2

67.8Auto22.6

212.6Teleop16.3

76.6Endgame21.4

11Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	17
teleop	220	5
endgame	61	8
foul	0	5
total	346	35

Result

Final score

346 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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