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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District McMaster University Event

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

426.87 – 298.74

83%17%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

399 – 397

Prediction correct · off by 63.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 589 ±11.2
8850Ed Bears
D
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 15.77Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2056OP Robotics
S
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 287.59Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7902Markham FireBirds
C
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 123.51Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703 ±8.1
4327Q Branch
C
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 3.32Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1325Inverse Paradox
A+
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 169.24Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2200BCR Blackout
A
Season APEX 262Event APEX 126.18Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8850, 2056, 7902
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
426.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8850, 2056, 7902
Auto
85.8 21%
Teleop
251.8 60%
Endgame
79.2 19%
Strengths
  • · 2056 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4327, 1325, 2200
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
298.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4327, 1325, 2200
Auto
68.1 23%
Teleop
158.7 53%
Endgame
71.7 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score426.9pts
Blue projected score298.7pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
128.1
Score range
263–463
Upset likelihood
17%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring

Combined score 796 vs event baseline 202.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

589Season APEX703
85.8Auto68.1
251.8Teleop158.7
79.2Endgame71.7
45Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto76100
teleop183201
endgame11091
foul305
total399397

Result

Final score

399 – 397

Prediction correct · off by 63.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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