Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.55 – 78.28

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

66 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.3 ±11

11428Horns of Steel

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 54.39Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 38.61Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6978QuickStrike Niagara

Season APEX 120Event APEX 58.55Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.7 ±11.6

11362RoBumpers

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 4.29Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 68.38Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3560MechaWolves

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 5.61Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11428, 6632, 6978

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11428, 6632, 6978

Auto

24.6 18%

Teleop

64.4 47%

Endgame

47.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11362, 9575, 3560

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11362, 9575, 3560

Auto

12.0 14%

Teleop

34.1 41%

Endgame

37.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.6pts

Blue projected score78.3pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.3
Score range: 41–189
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 207.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.3Season APEX178.7

24.6Auto12

64.4Teleop34.1

47.9Endgame37.1

68Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	16
teleop	26	10
endgame	5	10
foul	0	0
total	66	36

Result

Final score

66 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 63.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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