Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.19 – 192.61

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.6 ±10.5

11002Montcalm Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -19.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1229Tidal Shift

Season APEX 100Event APEX 31.28Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 234.05Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±9.8

4907Thunderstamps

Season APEX 210.5Event APEX 102.07Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 46.26Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 44.28Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11002, 1229, 1114

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11002, 1229, 1114

Auto

44.3 17%

Teleop

152.6 60%

Endgame

57.7 23%

Strengths

· 1114 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4907, 7200, 10167

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4907, 7200, 10167

Auto

35.6 19%

Teleop

125.4 67%

Endgame

27.2 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.2pts

Blue projected score192.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.6
Score range: 156–283
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 206.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.6Season APEX388.7

44.3Auto35.6

152.6Teleop125.4

57.7Endgame27.2

78Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	54
teleop	172	70
endgame	36	50
foul	15	5
total	293	179

Result

Final score

293 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.