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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District McMaster University Event

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.44 – 229.21

63%37%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

343 – 413

Prediction missed · off by 127.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 621.7 ±9.8
10167Jeunes Sans Frontières
D
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 17.48Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1114Simbotics
S
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 234.72Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9062Critical Circuits
B
Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 20.24Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 581.7 ±9.4
4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS
D
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 4.89Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9098FireHawks
B
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 98.12Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1325Inverse Paradox
A+
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 126.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10167, 1114, 9062
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
272.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10167, 1114, 9062
Auto
72.2 26%
Teleop
160.6 59%
Endgame
40.5 15%
Strengths
  • · 1114 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4308, 9098, 1325
68
/ 100 compat
Projected
229.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4308, 9098, 1325
Auto
56.7 24%
Teleop
107.1 46%
Endgame
68.9 30%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score272.4pts
Blue projected score229.2pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
43.2
Score range
193–308
Upset likelihood
37%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring

Combined score 756 vs event baseline 200.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

621.7Season APEX581.7
72.2Auto56.7
160.6Teleop107.1
40.5Endgame68.9
72Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4385
teleop201256
endgame9472
foul50
total343413

Result

Final score

343 – 413

Prediction missed · off by 127.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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