Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
250.77 – 329
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
312 – 385
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 26.5Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120Event APEX 75.14Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.2Event APEX 149.13Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.3 ±9.4
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 173.25Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 123.82Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82Event APEX 31.93Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9575, 6978, 5406
69
/ 100 compatProjected
250.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9575, 6978, 5406
Auto
52.3 21%
Teleop
131.2 53%
Endgame
62.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1325, 7902, 9659
82
/ 100 compatProjected
329 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1325, 7902, 9659
Auto
62.1 20%
Teleop
165.0 52%
Endgame
89.2 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 2.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score250.8pts
Blue projected score329pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -78.2
- Score range
- 211–369
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
485.5Season APEX529.3
52.3Auto62.1
131.2Teleop165
62.6Endgame89.2
11Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 39 |
| teleop | 163 | 199 |
| endgame | 92 | 147 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 312 | 385 |
Result
Final score
312 – 385
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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