Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

160.94 – 229.67

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±10.4

10167Jeunes Sans Frontières

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 53.79Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 46.04Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9659Vanier Vikings

Season APEX 82Event APEX 61.11Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568.7 ±9.8

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 107.92Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 13.37Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9098FireHawks

Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 108.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10167, 2852, 9659

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10167, 2852, 9659

Auto

26.7 17%

Teleop

116.7 74%

Endgame

14.8 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2200, 7200, 9098

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2200, 7200, 9098

Auto

39.6 18%

Teleop

120.1 56%

Endgame

54.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.9pts

Blue projected score229.7pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.7
Score range: 123–268
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 210.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.2Season APEX568.7

26.7Auto39.6

116.7Teleop120.1

14.8Endgame54.7

74Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	90
teleop	49	144
endgame	56	56
foul	5	0
total	130	290

Result

Final score

130 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 45.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.