Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

465.657.12

98%2%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

57994

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 915.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 199.73Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 227.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 37.93Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 120Event APEX 43.86Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -10.88Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 24.14Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1114, 2056, 6632
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
465.6 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1114, 2056, 6632
Auto
101.4 22%
Teleop
287.3 63%
Endgame
70.5 15%
Strengths
  • · 2056 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4917, 6135, 11428
37
/ 100 compat
Projected
57.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4917, 6135, 11428
Auto
10.8 30%
Teleop
18.6 52%
Endgame
6.4 18%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score465.6pts
Blue projected score57.1pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
408.5
Score range
21502
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 202.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

915.9Season APEX246.4
101.4Auto10.8
287.3Teleop18.6
70.5Endgame6.4
102Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto13114
teleop33735
endgame11115
foul030
total57994

Result

Final score

57994

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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