Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
465.6 – 57.12
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
579 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 915.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 199.73Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 227.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 37.93Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 120Event APEX 43.86Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -10.88Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 24.14Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1114, 2056, 6632
80
/ 100 compatProjected
465.6 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1114, 2056, 6632
Auto
101.4 22%
Teleop
287.3 63%
Endgame
70.5 15%
Strengths
- · 2056 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4917, 6135, 11428
37
/ 100 compatProjected
57.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4917, 6135, 11428
Auto
10.8 30%
Teleop
18.6 52%
Endgame
6.4 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score465.6pts
Blue projected score57.1pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 408.5
- Score range
- 21–502
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
915.9Season APEX246.4
101.4Auto10.8
287.3Teleop18.6
70.5Endgame6.4
102Consistency101
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 131 | 14 |
| teleop | 337 | 35 |
| endgame | 111 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 579 | 94 |
Result
Final score
579 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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