Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.43 – 304.19

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.9 ±11.7

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 28.43Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 35.55Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6162Cap Alpaca

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX -6.55Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.1 ±11.1

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 316.46Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11002Montcalm Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -7.99Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11362RoBumpers

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX -4.28Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9062, 7200, 6162

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 7200, 6162

Auto

25.1 50%

Teleop

18.7 37%

Endgame

6.7 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2056, 11002, 11362

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2056, 11002, 11362

Auto

73.9 25%

Teleop

164.8 56%

Endgame

57.8 19%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.4pts

Blue projected score304.2pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -246.8
Score range: 17–344
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 220.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.9Season APEX472.1

25.1Auto73.9

18.7Teleop164.8

6.7Endgame57.8

5Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	62
teleop	19	192
endgame	5	45
foul	0	5
total	44	304

Result

Final score

44 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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