Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

574.81 – 264.6

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

631 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 85.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 961.9 ±9.3

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 22.97Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 240.58Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 311.26Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.2 ±10.5

7902Markham FireBirds

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 117.25Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11362RoBumpers

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX -11.09Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 158.44Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9062, 1114, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

574.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 1114, 2056

Auto

119.9 21%

Teleop

335.2 59%

Endgame

110.7 20%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7902, 11362, 2200

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7902, 11362, 2200

Auto

63.7 25%

Teleop

141.5 56%

Endgame

45.8 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score574.8pts

Blue projected score264.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 310.2
Score range: 227–613
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1010 vs event baseline 212.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

961.9Season APEX414.2

119.9Auto63.7

335.2Teleop141.5

110.7Endgame45.8

0Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	87
teleop	365	140
endgame	133	142
foul	10	10
total	631	379

Result

Final score

631 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 85.3 pts

Match videos

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