FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division

Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.15 – 189.67

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.7 ±9.8

10554Team VIPER

Season APEX 138.6Event APEX 133.8Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4152Hoya Robotics

Season APEX 152.3Event APEX 100.77Rank 13Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 64.58Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.3 ±10.4

5024Raider Robotics

Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 132.18Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6632Northview Robotics

Season APEX 88.7Event APEX 37.29Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5719Pink Titans

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 20.2Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10554, 4152, 188

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10554, 4152, 188

Auto

31.3 11%

Teleop

173.5 60%

Endgame

84.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5024, 6632, 5719

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5024, 6632, 5719

Auto

38.2 21%

Teleop

101.6 55%

Endgame

45.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score299.2pts

Blue projected score189.7pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample228alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.5
Score range: 142–347
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 269.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.7Season APEX279.3

31.3Auto38.2

173.5Teleop101.6

84.5Endgame45.1

41Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	21
teleop	207	89
endgame	92	50
foul	20	15
total	353	175

Result

Final score

353 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.