Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
118.82 – 118.82
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
292 – 376
Prediction missed · off by 215.2 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 528.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 265.1Event APEX -Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -Rank 42Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.3Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 337.3Event APEX -Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.3Event APEX -Rank 13Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.1Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2702, 9782, 610
50
/ 100 compatProjected
118.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2702, 9782, 610
Auto
35.6 30%
Teleop
59.4 50%
Endgame
23.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7558, 4152, 5031
50
/ 100 compatProjected
118.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7558, 4152, 5031
Auto
35.6 30%
Teleop
59.4 50%
Endgame
23.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score118.8pts
Blue projected score118.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample228alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 76–162
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
528.2Season APEX605.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 101 | 24 |
| teleop | 182 | 259 |
| endgame | 9 | 73 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 292 | 376 |
Result
Final score
292 – 376
Prediction missed · off by 215.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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