Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
116.92 – 116.92
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
207 – 314
Prediction missed · off by 143.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 99.3Event APEX -Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX -Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 78.7Event APEX -Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 323.6Event APEX -Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8789, 9098, 8349
50
/ 100 compatProjected
116.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8789, 9098, 8349
Auto
35.1 30%
Teleop
58.5 50%
Endgame
23.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3543, 4946, 5408
50
/ 100 compatProjected
116.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3543, 4946, 5408
Auto
35.1 30%
Teleop
58.5 50%
Endgame
23.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score116.9pts
Blue projected score116.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample228alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 75–159
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
368.1Season APEX491.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 89 |
| teleop | 103 | 144 |
| endgame | 71 | 81 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 207 | 314 |
Result
Final score
207 – 314
Prediction missed · off by 143.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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