FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

412.61 – 158.32

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

562 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 91.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 573.1 ±10.4

1310Runnymede Robotics

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 111.63Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2935NACI Robotics

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 138.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2702Rebels

Season APEX 265.1Event APEX 162.94Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±10.4

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 79.26Rank 11Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8729Sparkling H2O

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 69.6Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6865Manitoulin Metal

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX 9.46Rank 49Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1310, 2935, 2702

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1310, 2935, 2702

Auto

79.9 20%

Teleop

229.3 56%

Endgame

99.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4039, 8729, 6865

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4039, 8729, 6865

Auto

10.3 7%

Teleop

94.7 63%

Endgame

45.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score412.6pts

Blue projected score158.3pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample228alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 254.3
Score range: 111–460
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 754 vs event baseline 262.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

573.1Season APEX310

79.9Auto10.3

229.3Teleop94.7

99.1Endgame45.5

101Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	43
teleop	316	99
endgame	130	50
foul	0	0
total	562	192

Result

Final score

562 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 91.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.