Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
112.5 – 112.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
280 – 205
Prediction correct · off by 130 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 108.5Event APEX -Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX -Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 262Event APEX -Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.3Event APEX -Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7476, 3161, 7200
50
/ 100 compatProjected
112.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7476, 3161, 7200
Auto
33.8 30%
Teleop
56.3 50%
Endgame
22.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2200, 919, 9262
50
/ 100 compatProjected
112.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2200, 919, 9262
Auto
33.8 30%
Teleop
56.3 50%
Endgame
22.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score112.5pts
Blue projected score112.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 72–154
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
407.3Season APEX418.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 45 |
| teleop | 163 | 125 |
| endgame | 38 | 25 |
| foul | 30 | 10 |
| total | 280 | 205 |
Result
Final score
280 – 205
Prediction correct · off by 130 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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