FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 282.79

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±11

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX -21.12Rank 48Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9575Silver Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 15.19Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -25.64Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±10.4

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 133.33Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 139.25Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5870League of Logic

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 10.21Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6975, 9575, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

-31.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6975, 9575, 919

Auto

-13.6 35%

Teleop

-28.2 73%

Endgame

3.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4069, 1305, 5870

/ 100 compat

Projected

282.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4069, 1305, 5870

Auto

24.8 9%

Teleop

164.1 59%

Endgame

88.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score-31.6pts

Blue projected score282.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -282.8
Score range: -47–330
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 262.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.2Season APEX388.7

-13.6Auto24.8

-28.2Teleop164.1

3Endgame88.2

3Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	78
teleop	13	216
endgame	24	48
foul	0	0
total	45	342

Result

Final score

45 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.