FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162.54 – 280.25

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.5 ±10.4

7902Markham FireBirds

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 137.31Rank 19Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6875Amazon Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 39.47Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -14.24Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.2 ±9.8

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 161.35Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 95.45Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5036The Robo Devils

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 23.45Rank 39Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7902, 6875, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7902, 6875, 919

Auto

11.9 8%

Teleop

104.0 67%

Endgame

40.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2200, 7757, 5036

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2200, 7757, 5036

Auto

102.9 38%

Teleop

144.9 53%

Endgame

24.9 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score162.5pts

Blue projected score280.3pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -117.7
Score range: 117–326
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 257.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.5Season APEX381.2

11.9Auto102.9

104Teleop144.9

40.3Endgame24.9

45Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	34
teleop	56	146
endgame	11	48
foul	35	0
total	114	228

Result

Final score

114 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.