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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Georgian College Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

285.8 – 276.34

53%47%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 101.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.3 ±9.3
8349Newbotics
D
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 31.72Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5885Villanova WiredCats
C
Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 101.97Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8884Knight Owls
A
Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 152.11Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.7 ±10.4
9580Grizzly Gears
D
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 4.36Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1305Ice Cubed
B
Season APEX 161Event APEX 127.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4069Lo-Ellen Robotics
B
Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 144.78Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8349, 5885, 8884
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
285.8 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8349, 5885, 8884
Auto
46.9 16%
Teleop
171.0 60%
Endgame
67.3 24%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9580, 1305, 4069
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
276.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9580, 1305, 4069
Auto
51.2 19%
Teleop
146.7 55%
Endgame
67.1 25%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score285.8pts
Blue projected score276.3pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
9.5
Score range
245–317
Upset likelihood
47%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff
Standard match.

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 174.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.3Season APEX383.7
46.9Auto51.2
171Teleop146.7
67.3Endgame67.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4949
teleop9583
endgame2925
foul2010
total193167

Result

Final score

193 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 101.1 pts

Match videos

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