Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

422.67 – 143.87

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626 ±9.3

7558ALT-F4

Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 234.21Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10611Gemini Robotics

Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 25.76Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

188Blizzard

Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 162.7Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.2 ±11

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 40.55Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3739Oakbotics

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 33.93Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 69.39Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7558, 10611, 188

/ 100 compat

Projected

422.7 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7558, 10611, 188

Auto

63.5 15%

Teleop

261.3 63%

Endgame

92.5 22%

Strengths

· 7558 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6110, 3739, 7200

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6110, 3739, 7200

Auto

25.2 18%

Teleop

75.3 55%

Endgame

37.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score422.7pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 278.8
Score range: 113–454
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 502 vs event baseline 173.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626Season APEX300.2

63.5Auto25.2

261.3Teleop75.3

92.5Endgame37.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	37
teleop	198	76
endgame	134	28
foul	10	0
total	361	141

Result

Final score

361 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Match videos

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