Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
415.51 – 59.42
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
470 – 105
Prediction correct · off by 50 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 626 ±9.3
Season APEX 337.3Event APEX 232.05Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.9Event APEX 21.82Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.8Event APEX 161.64Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 39.3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.1Event APEX 11.58Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 14Event APEX 8.54Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7558, 10611, 188
80
/ 100 compatProjected
415.5 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7558, 10611, 188
Auto
61.1 15%
Teleop
248.7 61%
Endgame
98.7 24%
Strengths
- · 7558 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6397, 8081, 6859
33
/ 100 compatProjected
59.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6397, 8081, 6859
Auto
20.7 37%
Teleop
20.9 37%
Endgame
15.1 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score415.5pts
Blue projected score59.4pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 356.1
- Score range
- 28–447
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
626Season APEX124.2
61.1Auto20.7
248.7Teleop20.9
98.7Endgame15.1
10Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 82 | 17 |
| teleop | 322 | 41 |
| endgame | 66 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 470 | 105 |
Result
Final score
470 – 105
Prediction correct · off by 50 pts
Match videos
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