Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
270.43 – 263.61
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
336 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 62.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 27.3Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 96.06Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.1Event APEX 147.07Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 0.4Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 161Event APEX 122.98Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 140.23Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8349, 5885, 8884
80
/ 100 compatProjected
270.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8349, 5885, 8884
Auto
44.9 17%
Teleop
157.8 59%
Endgame
63.0 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9580, 1305, 4069
81
/ 100 compatProjected
263.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9580, 1305, 4069
Auto
53.9 22%
Teleop
138.7 56%
Endgame
54.6 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score270.4pts
Blue projected score263.6pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 6.8
- Score range
- 232–302
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
454.3Season APEX383.7
44.9Auto53.9
157.8Teleop138.7
63Endgame54.6
6Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 39 |
| teleop | 207 | 151 |
| endgame | 62 | 14 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 336 | 204 |
Result
Final score
336 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 62.6 pts
Match videos
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