Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.08 – 168.76

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.7 ±10.4

9580Grizzly Gears

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 0.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1305Ice Cubed

Season APEX 161Event APEX 123.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4069Lo-Ellen Robotics

Season APEX 170.9Event APEX 140.5Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.2 ±11

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 48.41Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3739Oakbotics

Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 43.79Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7200Banting Robotics

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 76.56Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9580, 1305, 4069

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9580, 1305, 4069

Auto

54.4 22%

Teleop

138.3 55%

Endgame

57.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6110, 3739, 7200

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6110, 3739, 7200

Auto

32.0 20%

Teleop

89.4 56%

Endgame

38.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score265.1pts

Blue projected score168.8pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.3
Score range: 137–297
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 178.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.7Season APEX300.2

54.4Auto32

138.3Teleop89.4

57.9Endgame38.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	43
teleop	139	24
endgame	29	10
foul	30	5
total	249	82

Result

Final score

249 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts

Match videos

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